2 Jul · 12:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1254
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1366
FormWWLLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H15-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-2)