2 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1369
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pyrtyk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1366
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.