2 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1254
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sydorchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1289
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H14-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.