2 Jul · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1369
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pyrtyk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1297
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)