2 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1475
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1487
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Kurylenko stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.