2 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1587
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrekh
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Sheremeta
ELO 1576
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Sheremeta covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.