2 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1525
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Polak
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1488
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 100% (16)
Fair odds · Polak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.