3 Jul · 00:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1561
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kozachuk
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H43-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-30)