3 Jul · 00:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1665
FormLLWLL
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H24-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-15)