2 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1525
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Polak
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Jirousek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Polak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)