2 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1391
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1418
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H15-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.