2 Jul · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1519
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stibor
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1599
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Stibor
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)