3 Jul · 05:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1636
FormLWWWW
38%
62%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)