3 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1577
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Romaniak
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1561
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Romaniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Romaniak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H17-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.