2 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1475
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ziakun
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1414
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H47-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-17)