2 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1460
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H16-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.