2 Jul · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.