2 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1568
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sheremeta
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Sheremeta
ELO 1576
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Sheremeta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.