2 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pokydin
ELO 1234
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1418
FormWLWWL
31%
69%
⚡ Cover lean · Honcharenko🌟Pokydin stays under total as underdog 82% (17)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)