2 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1488
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jirousek🌟Jirousek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.