2 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1448
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1460
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Kondratenko stays under total as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.