3 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1561
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kozachuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H23-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.