2 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1468
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skhabitskiy
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1460
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.