2 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1475
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ziakun
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1475
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.