2 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1453
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1448
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Kondratenko stays under total as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H14-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.