3 Jul · 02:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1561
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1665
FormLLWLL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H96-87
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-87)