2 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1414
FormWLWLW
59%
41%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H54-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-32)