2 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1468
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.