2 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1661
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wasik
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1599
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)