2 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1317
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Urezchenko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pokydin
ELO 1234
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Pokydin stays under total as underdog 82% (17)
Fair odds · Urezchenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)