2 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1561
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1636
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H29-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-27)