2 Jul · 13:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1480
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorel
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1476
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.