2 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1475
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1493
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Mejzlik covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.