2 Jul · 10:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1431
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1439
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.