2 Jul · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1474
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrytsenko
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1450
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Holoborodko stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Hrytsenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H18-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.