2 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1597
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mezera
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1595
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.