2 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1737
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chuhai
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1730
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Lushchyk covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H37-76
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.