2 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1509
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chadima
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1476
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Chadima rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H16-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.