2 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kushnirenko
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1409
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Kiilo rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (18)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+147
H2H23-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-11)