2 Jul · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1494
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chadima
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1509
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Chadima rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.