2 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zhyrnov
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1474
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H24-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)