2 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1547
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzyshyn
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Kuzyshyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.