2 Jul · 15:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chyzh
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1476
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.