2 Jul · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Leonenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1437
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (22)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.