2 Jul · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1558
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1613
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Nazarov covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)