2 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇺🇦Vadim Reva
ELO 1530
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Reva
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Karelov
ELO 1513
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Reva
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.