2 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chyzh
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.