2 Jul · 11:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1494
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Schmidtmayer
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1476
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Schmidtmayer
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.