2 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1419
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chyzh
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)