2 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1605
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1613
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.